Monroe County Transit: Existing Conditions Analysis

EXISTING CONDITIONS ANALYSIS

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in 40 trips would be available to be served by auto drivers/passengers diverting to transit and latent transit demand not being currently met because of service frequency limitation currently. Based on actual experience, the impact of transit service frequency on ridership is typically disproportionate. For every 1% increase in service frequency for express bus service, a corresponding increase in transit ridership has been shown to be 0.4-0.5% . Using this “elasticity” factor, and the higher value of 0.5%, the 40 added bus seat capacity for Route 201 would only lead to a potential increase in 20 passenger trips. Assuming that all transit-dependent trip demands are being met by the existing Route 301 service levels, that would leave 20 passenger trips that could be absorbed by traffic diversion to transit. Assuming a vehicle occupancy factor of 1.3 persons per vehicle (which could be higher due to the recreational traffic nature of the corridor), that translates to only 15 vehicles being removed from the roadway per direction. The MM 84 traffic volume for March 2023 identified a two-directional volume of over 2,000 vehicles. Thus the potential traffic diversion to transit is negligible. Conclusion The increase in service frequency on Route 301 at best would have a negligible impact on traffic diversion and roadway level of service. Some traffic diversion to transit could occur if travel time savings and/or transit fare decreases are implemented in the US 1 corridor, but these options are limited due to the ability to widen US 1 and the higher operating costs of the Route 1 service. Bus queue jumps at selected signalized intersections could have some benefit. Transit signal priority would also reduce transit travel time, but through traffic would also benefit, thus having minimal impact on diversion to transit. .

Figure A.III.2: Page 2 of Traffic Diversion Analysis

inquired as to the impact The WSP team evaluated ve on the most congested corridor, with the highest alyzed, given it represents me being available at that me and Delay Study from

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ws a peak period from 10 nd experiencing the worst utes. With over-the-road passengers, it is assumed f service on Route 301 to ch direction. The increase